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Simulation of approximated Gaussian process autoregressive models

Author(s): Tadej Krivec (Author), Juš Kocijan (Supervisor)

Year: 2023

Type: Doctoral dissertation

This thesis presents the simulation of approximated Gaussian process autoregressive models. Gaussian process models are a Bayesian nonparametric regression method, the main advantage of which is the quantification of uncertainty in closed-form. However, the closedform solution for the marginal likelihood results in a cubic computational complexity with respect to the …